Seasonal factor: xam algorithm. Cov khoom raws caij nyoog

Cov txheej txheem:

Seasonal factor: xam algorithm. Cov khoom raws caij nyoog
Seasonal factor: xam algorithm. Cov khoom raws caij nyoog
Anonim

Nws tsis yog qhov zais cia tias qee cov khoom muag muag zoo dua thaum lub caij ntuj sov, lwm lub caij ntuj no. Muaj ntau yam piv txwv: dej khov, khaub ncaws sov, thiab lwm yam. Cov neeg feem coob tsis tshua nyiam cov kev dhia no, txawm li cas los xij, yog tias koj muaj koj tus kheej ua lag luam, koj yuav tsum paub txog lub caij nyoog. Qhov no yog qhov tsab xov xwm no tau sau rau. Nws yuav pab koj nkag siab tias lub caij nyoog yog dab tsi, qhia koj yuav ua li cas xam nws, kom koj thiaj li npaj tau koj qhov kev muag khoom ntxiv.

Yog tias koj tsis xav txog lub caij nyoog ntawm qee yam khoom, kev lag luam yuav raug kev puas tsuaj tas li, thiab koj yuav tsis tuaj yeem npaj koj cov dej num ib txwm muaj. Yog li, nws yog lub sij hawm los xyuas seb lub caij nyoog zoo li cas, nws yog dab tsi yog nws daim ntawv thov nyob rau hauv lub neej tiag tiag thiab, ntawm chav kawm, nws yuav xam raws nraim li cas.

Qhov no yog dab tsi?

raws caij nyoog
raws caij nyoog

Lub caij nyoog yog ib lo lus uas txhua tus neeg lag luam yuav tsum paub, vim nws tau siv txhua qhov chaw thiab ua lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv kev npaj kev muag khoom kom raug. Qhov no yog tus coefficient uas qhia tau tias qhov muag ntau npaum li cas ntawm cov khoom tshwj xeeb nce lossis txo nyob ntawm lub caij uas qhov kev muag khoom tshwm sim.

Raws li, yog nyob rau hauv Tshuaglub qhov hluav taws xob muaj ntau ntawm cov khoom raws caij nyoog, koj yuav tsum kawm paub yuav ua li cas los tswj qhov coefficient, vim nws yuav tso cai rau koj ua tiav ntau yam. Tab sis yuav ua li cas raws nraim lub caij nyoog siv tau hauv lub neej tiag?

qhov piv txwv no yog dab tsi?

kev tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag
kev tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag

Qhov piv txwv no nyob deb ntawm tsuas yog tus lej ntawm daim ntawv uas tuaj yeem suav thiab muab tso tseg. Nws ua lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv lub neej tiag tiag yog tias koj muag cov khoom raws caij nyoog. Lub Scope ntawm no coefficient yog dav heev, tab sis ua ntej ntawm tag nrho cov nws yog tsim nyog sau cia lub fact tias nws yog siv los kwv yees yav tom ntej kev ua ub no. Qhov no txhais tau tias koj tuaj yeem txiav txim siab lub hlis twg koj xav xaj ntau dua ntawm ib hom lossis lwm yam, thiab qhov twg - tsawg dua, yuav ua li cas rau lawv los tsim kev muag khoom ntxiv, thiab lwm yam.

Raws li, nrog kev pab ntawm qhov coefficient no, koj tuaj yeem npaj cov haujlwm ua lag luam, thiab nrog lawv cov peev nyiaj tshaj tawm, uas yuav raug faib kom nyiam cov neeg yuav khoom rau cov khoom raws caij nyoog. Raws li koj tuaj yeem pom, qhov ntsuas no tuaj yeem ua lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv koj txoj haujlwm. Yog tias koj tsis xyuam xim rau nws, koj cov peev nyiaj tshaj tawm yuav raug nkim ntau zaus.

Raws li, tam sim no koj paub me ntsis kev xav txog qhov coefficient no, yog li nws yog lub sijhawm los mus rau kev xyaum, uas yog qhov teeb meem ntawm kev suav cov coefficient. Qhov no tuaj yeem ua tau yooj yim heev, tab sis kom tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo koj yuav tau uaua haujlwm ntau heev. Txawm li cas los xij, tsab xov xwm no yuav coj koj mus rau ib kauj ruam dhau los ntawm txhua kauj ruam ntawm kev suav, yog li thaum kawg koj tuaj yeem paub qhov ntsuas no koj tus kheej yog tias koj muaj cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag tsim nyog.

Lub Sijhawm Siv

yas qhov rais luv nqi
yas qhov rais luv nqi

Ua ntej xav txog kev suav cov algorithm nws tus kheej, nws yog ib qho tsim nyog los qhia meej txog ib qho tseem ceeb. Qhov tseeb yog tias qhov coefficient no yog universal, uas yog, nws tuaj yeem siv rau ntau lub sijhawm thiab sijhawm ntev. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias koj tuaj yeem suav lub caij nyoog rau ib lub lim tiam ntawm koj qhov kev ua ub no kom paub seb hnub twg ntawm lub lim tiam twg yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws thiab qhov twg phem tshaj.

Tau kawg, qhov no muaj nws tus yam ntxwv, piv txwv li, koj yuav tsum tau xaj khoom ntau zaus hauv ib lub lis piam los txiav txim siab qhov ua tau zoo raws li qhov ua tau, nrog rau suav nrog qee yam lwm yam. Nws tseem tsim nyog sau cia tias ib lub lim tiam luv dhau lub sijhawm los muab koj lub tswv yim tag nrho ntawm cov khoom lag luam zoo lossis cov khoom tsis zoo uas muag rau ib hnub twg ntawm lub lim tiam.

Nyob zoo ib tsoom niam txiv kwv tij neej tsas sawv daws.

xam algorithm
xam algorithm

Yog li, yuav tsum tau tsom mus rau lub sijhawm ib txwm muaj rau hom kev sib hais haum no. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias qhov nruab nrab qhov muag txhua hli raug coj mus rau hauv tus account thiaj li yuav suav cov coefficient rau txhua lub hlis ntawm lub xyoo. Raws li qhov tshwm sim, koj tuaj yeem siv cov coefficients tau los txhawm rau kwv yees qhov kev ua tiav tam sim ntawd rau ob peb lub hlis ua ntej, uasyog ib qho cuab yeej muaj txiaj ntsig zoo thaum npaj kev ua ub no.

Yog li, tam sim no koj nkag siab tias nws yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws los xaiv ib lub hlis raws li lub sijhawm thiab tib lub sijhawm xav txog txhua lub sijhawm hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm ib xyoos txhawm rau ua kom muaj txiaj ntsig sib piv. Zoo, tam sim no koj muaj cov ntaub ntawv txaus los ntawm thawj zaug mus rau theem kawg ntawm kev suav cov caij nyoog.

Tau txais cov ntaub ntawv txheeb cais

nruab nrab muag txhua hli
nruab nrab muag txhua hli

Yog tias koj xav ua qhov kev npaj muag tag nrho thiab muaj txiaj ntsig siv qhov piv txwv no, koj yuav xav tau cov txheeb cais ntau heev. Koj lub khw tuaj yeem muaj ntau yam khoom raws caij nyoog sib txawv hauv cov khoom sib txawv, yog li koj yuav tsum nkag siab tam sim ntawd tias kev suav yuav tsum tau muab cais rau txhua tus ntawm lawv.

Yog li, xaiv ib qho ntawm cov khoom lag luam thiab nce nws cov txheeb cais muag txhua lub hlis rau ib xyoos. Qhov tob koj tuaj yeem nkag mus rau hauv kev txheeb cais, qhov tseeb dua koj cov ntaub ntawv yuav yog. Tau kawg, koj tuaj yeem siv cov ntaub ntawv ntawm ib xyoos, tab sis nws yuav yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws kom muaj ntawm tes muag cov txheeb cais rau 2-3 xyoo dhau los tsawg kawg. Txhua yam khoom raws caij nyoog yuav tsum muaj lawv tus kheej cov txheeb cais muag, uas koj yuav ua haujlwm nrog yav tom ntej kom tau txais tus nqi sib npaug.

Txhawm rau txuas ntxiv, koj yuav tsum suav qhov kev muag khoom nruab nrab rau txhua xyoo los ntawm kev ntxiv cov muag khoom rau txhua lub hlis thiab muab faib ua kaum ob, uas yog tus lej ntawm lub hlis hauv ib xyoos. Tam sim no koj tab tom npaj kom tau txais koj cov txiaj ntsig ntau ntxiv.

Coefficient rau txhua tusmonth

kev muag khoom kwv yees
kev muag khoom kwv yees

Thawj kauj ruam yog kom tau tus coefficient rau txhua lub hlis ntawm lub xyoo. Nws yog qhov yooj yim heev los ua qhov no: koj yuav tsum coj tus lej muag rau txhua lub hlis thiab faib nws los ntawm qhov nruab nrab muag daim duab rau xyoo. Tus lej tshwm sim yuav tsum nyob ib puag ncig. Yog tias nws tsawg dua ib hlis, nws txhais tau hais tias hauv ib lub hlis twg cov khoom muag tau muag ntau dua, yog tias nws ntau dua - raws li, cov khoom muag tau zoo tshaj qhov nruab nrab rau xyoo.

Raws li qhov tseeb, ntawm no koj muaj lub caij nyoog. Koj paub tias lub hli twg koj cov khoom muag tau zoo tshaj plaws thiab qhov twg muag phem tshaj, thiab tam sim no koj tuaj yeem kwv yees muag thiab nce qib raws li. Yog tias koj muag qhov rais, koj tuaj yeem paub tias lub hli twg yog qhov zoo dua los ua kom luv nqi ntawm lub qhov rais yas; yog tias koj muag cov khaub ncaws sov, koj yuav nkag siab tias thaum twg yuav xaj lawv ntau, thiab thaum tsis xaj txhua. Txawm li cas los xij, yog tias koj xav kom tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj plaws, txoj haujlwm tsis xaus rau ntawd.

Average odds

cov khoom raws caij nyoog
cov khoom raws caij nyoog

Ua ntej koj pib txo cov qhov rais yas, dej khov lossis cov tsho tiv no, nws tsim nyog nco ntsoov tias kom tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj plaws, koj yuav tsum muaj nyob hauv koj txhais tes kom sib sib zog nqus cov txheeb cais nyob rau ob peb xyoos dhau los. Yog tias koj tswj kom tau txais cov ntaub ntawv zoo li no, nws tsim nyog suav cov coefficients rau txhua lub hlis hauv txhua xyoo, thiab tom qab ntawd suav cov lej lej rau txhua lub hlis. Qhov tshwm sim yuav txawv ntawm qhov qub, thiab yog vim li cas rau qhov no yog qhov tseeb tias koj cov ntaub ntawv tau dhau losmuaj tseeb dua, yog li cov kev suav suav tuaj yeem muab qhov kev ntseeg tau zoo dua.

Kev xav

Zoo, qhov kawg uas koj yuav tsum tsis txhob hnov qab yog cov kws tshaj lij kev xav. Lo lus no txhais li cas? Qhov no yog kev xav txog txhua yam ntxiv uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam kev muag khoom hauv ib lub hlis uas tau txiav txim siab hauv kev suav. Qhov no tej zaum yuav yog qhov tsis txaus ntawm cov khoom lossis nws cov khoom siv dav; pib ntawm kev muag khoom ntawm cov khoom, uas coj mus rau ib tug loj heev thov rau nws. Tej zaum nws yuav yog ib qho teeb meem nyiaj txiag, uas tau hnov zoo heev hauv ib lub sijhawm ntawm daim ntawv qhia hnub. Yog tsis muaj kev txheeb xyuas cov phooj ywg, koj qhov piv yuav dhau los ua lej, tawm ntawm qhov tseeb. Tias yog vim li cas nws thiaj pom zoo hu rau cov kws tshaj lij kev lag luam kom tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj plaws.

Pom zoo: